CLADAG SCHOOL 2026 (16 – 20 March)

STATISTICS IN SPORTS

University of Brescia, Department of Economics and Management, Italy

The school is organized within the activities of the BDsports and is part of the initiatives promoted by CLADAG (Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society).

The aim of the school is to provide an overview of statistical methods and models useful for the analysis of sports data. Topics will include a variety of methodological approaches and applications, in line with the research interests and expertise of the lecturers.

The school is intended for PhD students, young researchers, and practitioners with an interest in statistical methods applied to sports. The program will include both theoretical lectures and hands-on sessions, fostering interaction and discussion.

Participation in the CLADAG School is limited to a maximum of 28 participants. Should the number of applications exceed this limit, a selection process will be carried out by the Scientific Committee based on the applicants’ CVs, which must be submitted together with the registration form.

Registration details

Registration form

 

 

Scientific and Organizing Committee

Coordinators: Marica Manisera and Paola Zuccolotto, BDsports, University of Brescia, Italy

Eugenio Brentari, University of Brescia, Italy

Maurizio Carpita, University of Brescia, Italy

Leonardo Egidi, University of Trieste, Italy

Ambra Macis, University of Brescia, Italy

 

Lecturers

Andreas Groll, TU Dortmund University, Germany

Dimitris Karlis, Athens University of Economics and Business, Greece

Christophe Ley, University of Luxembourg, Luxembourg

Marica Manisera, University of Brescia, Italy

Ioannis Ntzoufras, Athens University of Economics and Business, Greece

Paola Zuccolotto, University of Brescia, Italy

 

Partners

Big Data Analytics in Sports (BDsports)

PRIN Project “SMARTSports”, Statistical Models and AlgoRiThms in sports. Applications in professional and amateur contexts, with able-bodied and disabled athletes, PRIN 2022

International Statistical Institute – Special Interest Group on Sports Statistics

 


Program

Monday, 16 March 2026
9:00 – 9:15 M. Manisera, P. Zuccolotto Welcome and opening remarks
9:15 – 10:00 P. Zuccolotto Introduction to Sports Analytics
10:00 – 13:00 I. Ntzoufras Current Issues in Sports Analytics and Double Poisson Model for Football
14:30 – 17:30 I. Ntzoufras Current Issues in Sports Analytics and Double Poisson Model for Football
Tuesday, 17 March 2026
9:30 – 12:30 D. Karlis Ranking and Rating in Sports
14:30 – 17:30 D. Karlis Tracking Data in Sports
Wednesday, 18 March 2026
9:30 – 12:30 C. Ley Statistically Enhanced Learning for Sports Analytics and Medicine
14:30 – 17:30 C. Ley Statistically Enhanced Learning for Sports Analytics and Medicine
Thursday, 19 March 2026
9:30 – 12:30 A. Groll Modeling and Prediction of Match Outcomes
14:30 – 17:30 A. Groll Modeling and Prediction of Match Outcomes
Friday, 20 March 2026
9:30 – 11:30 Round Table PRIN Project “SMARTSports” (PI: L. Egidi, University of Trieste)
11:30 – 12:15 M. Manisera Conclusions and Discussion
12:15 – 12:30 M. Manisera, P. Zuccolotto Closing remarks

 


Course short descriptions

 

Current Issues in Sports Analytics and Double Poisson Model for Football

Prof. Ioannis Ntzoufras, Athens University of Economics and Business, Greece

Current Issues in Sports Analytics

  1. Introduction
  2. Benefits of Sports Analytics
  3. Analytics in Football, Basketball and Baseball
  4. Main Topics/Issues in Sports Analytics (Prediction, Player Evaluation & Performance analytics, Physical Metrics of Players in training, Injury prevention (and prediction), Inline game metrics with wearables, Scheduling, Sports Economics & Competitive Balance)

The Double Poisson Model for Football

  1. Models for Football
  2. The Double Poisson Model
  3. The Vanilla formulation
  4. Model Assumptions (Over-dispersion, Correlation, Dynamic Models, Excess of Draws)
  5. Covariates vs Abilities
  6. Protocol for well fitted/prediction model
  7. League regeneration
  8. League prediction using simulation
  9. Example using R and OpenBUGS

 

Ranking and Rating in Sports – Tracking data in Sports

Prof. Dimitris Karlis, Athens University of Economics and Business, Greece

Rating and Ranking in Sports

  1. Why we need that
  2. Paired Comparisons the Bradely -Terry model and variants
  3. Elo method
  4. Other Approaches
  5. Hands on

Tracking data in Sports

  1. Data Technologies
  2. New indices/Metrics
  3. Use in Practice and Insights
  4. Hands on

 

Statistically Enhanced Learning for Sports Analytics and Medicine

Prof. Christophe Ley, University of Luxembourg, Luxembourg

  1. Where it all started: prediction of the World Cup 2018
  2. The concept of Statistically Enhanced Learning (SEL)
  3. SEL for handball
  4. SEL for sports medicine with focus on survival analysis
  5. Hands-on SEL on sports data with R, and to brainstorm how to present results to coaches and medical staff.

 

Modeling and Prediction of Match Outcomes

Prof. Andreas Groll, TU Dortmund University, Germany

The course introduces the basics of modeling and predicting match outcomes. We will provide an introduction to standard modeling techniques such as Generalized Linear Models (GLMs), regression and classification trees (CARTs), and random forests. Moreover, the course will address different sports, such as football (soccer), handball, and tennis.

The lessons combine theoretical topics with practical examples using R software.

 

Introductory background

Egidi, L., Karlis, D., Ntzoufras, I. (2025). Predictive Modelling for Football Analytics. 1st Edition. Chapman & Hall. ISBN 9781032030630.

Aldous, D. (2017) Elo Ratings and the Sports Model: A Neglected Topic in Applied Probability? Statistical. Science   32, 616–629

Cattelan, M.; Varin, C.; Firth, D. (2013) Dynamic Bradley–Terry modelling of sports tournaments. Applied Statistics, 62, 135–150

Kovalchik, S. A. (2023). Player tracking data in sports. Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, 10(1), 677-697.

Fahrmeir, L., Kneib, T., Lang, S., Marx, B. (2021). Regression – Models, Methods and Applications. New York: Springer.

Hastie, T., Tibshirani, R., Friedman, J. (2009). The Elements of Statistical Learning – Data Mining, Inference, and Prediction. New York: Springer

 

Facilities Required

– Software: R (open source), RStudio, R packages: ranger, party, rpart, mlr3, WinBUGS/OpenBUGS, BradleyTerry2, elo, footBayes

– Course Material. All course materials, including the data and R scripts for the examples, will be made available for course participants.